Vegas Over/Under: 30.5
Fromal’s Record Projection: 28-54 The Bet: Under with marginal confidence Rinse and repeat.
In 2013-14, the New York Knicks’ 37-45 record couldn’t quite fit their over/under of 49.5. Back in 2014-15, they arrived 23.5 games short of reaching their over/under of 40.5. In 2015-16, they’d their over/under set at 31.5 and won 32 games. In 2016-17, their 31-51 record fell well shy of the 38.5 over/under.
Each year, Vegas provides a realistic expectation, listens because the public works itself into a frenzy about the diminished expectations for a major-market team and then (probably) collectively laughs as its prediction either turns out true or overly optimistic.
The last time New York exceeded the projection by more than one match was 2012-13, along with the roster was a bit different. So should this season break the mould?
Yes, Kristaps Porzingis is gifted. Yes, Tim Hardaway Jr. could inject more offensive firepower into the lineup. Yes, Madison Square Garden will most likely be full of cheering fans, even though some (many?) Of these will probably be rooting on the opposition.
But Carmelo Anthony is still on the roster, and there is no end in sight to the endless will-they-won’t-they exchange saga. Frank Ntilikina ramon Sessions and Ron Baker comprise the spinning. Convincing thickness exists at zero places.
Please. Do not wager on the Knicks to win over 30 games.
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